Percentages before firing

[Cesar Moreno Santo]

When I'm about to fire into a enemy stack, I can see a percentage.

I always assumed this represents the chance that (1d6 + drms) > (1d6 + TM).

But I'm not sure anymore.

Let's take a look at this picture for example.

IFP = +2;
Adjacent: +2;
Moving Target +1;
TM=0;
So the chances that (1d6 + 5) > (1d6) are 35/36 or 97.2%

I've checked several other cases where the numbers are also slightly off.

I might be missing something, or maybe the percentage means something different?

Someone could clarify?

Thanks,
César

 

[Wiggum]

It would be great if we could get rid of these percentages and just have the modifiers shown

 

[Cesar Moreno Santo]

I don't know if I agree. I don't mind the percentages and when you shoot, you can see the dr and the modifier. I guess this stimation could be helpful for newer players?

 

[Wiggum]

I don't know if I agree. I don't mind the percentages and when you shoot, you can see the dr and the modifier. I guess this stimation could be helpful for newer players?

Of course deactivating the percentage should be optional.

But you made some interesting discovery and i dont want to derail your thread.

 

[Cesar Moreno Santo]

That option would be great. I'd love if you could toggle what to see. Either the percentage or the modifiers (+2 adjacent, +1 target moving etc.)

BTW this would be the list of correct percentages, First column: "Attacker DRM - TM"

 

[Tom Proudfoot]

"Chance of effect" means "chance of having one of the units in the stack fail a damage check roll" so there's another set of probabilities to tack onto that. It's just coincidence that in this example it's close to the 97.22% number.

 

[Cesar Moreno Santo]

Gotcha. That makes sense. Thanks again Tom.